Hull have lost eight of their nine matches this season against the current top seven, with six defeats to nil. The recent signings of Nikica Jelavic and Shane Long should increase their firepower in the long run but they’ll be without Jake Livermore for this match.
Spurs have won all eight of their away matches this season against teams currently below the top six and since the start of last season they’ve won all 10 of their matches (home and away) against promoted sides. None of those 10 wins was by more than two goals though, while just one of Hull’s 12 defeats this season has been by more than a two goal margin.
We wouldn’t put anyone off backing Spurs to win at 20/21 but by Dutching the Handicap -1.0 Tie at 11/4 and Handicap -2.0 Tie at 9/2 you could increase your return to a little better than 6/5 as long as Spurs win by either a one or two goal margin.
Hull have generally kept things pretty tight this season with 74% of their games having fewer than three goals. In contrast, 10 of Spurs’ last 12 matches have had at least three strikes with six seeing four or more. As such it is probably best avoiding the goals markets. For a second bet in this match there looks to be better value in the scorer markets. Emmanuel Adebayor has netted in each of Spurs’ last three Premier League away games, including two braces. At 7/4 the Togolese striker looks a very tempting price.
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