Spurs have won 10 of their 12 home games against bottom-six finishers in the past two seasons, with seven victories by at least two goals, and this term they’ve won two of three games hosting the current bottom-six (both by at least two goals). Furthermore, they’ve won 10 of 11 matches against promoted teams since the start of last season.
Cardiff were beaten by Hull last weekend and the injury to Gary Medel has left them looking short of depth in midfield with Jordan Mutch also a doubt. They’ve lost eight of their last 10 away games whilst failing to score seven times, and all of those defeats have been by more than one goal. Spurs should be too strong for a depleted Cardiff side and are well worth backing to win to nil at 21/20.
Cardiff’s defensive vulnerability combined with their troubles scoring make the goals markets tough to call and so we’d prefer a small side bet on the correct score. Cardiff have suffered five 2-0 defeats on the road this season while Spurs have won by that score in four of 15 home matches since 2011/12 against bottom-six finishers and teams currently in the bottom six. At 5/1 the 2-0 correct score looks to have a great chance.
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